CANSSI/SSC Cross-Country Tour | The Development of a COVID-19 Self-Assessment Risk Model to Mitigate Case Importation Risk in Yukon
December 16 @ 12:00 pm - 12:45 pm
Dr. Lisa Kanary, Instructor, Mathematics & Statistics, School of Business and Leadership, Yukon University
Hosted by Dr. Joanna Mills Flemming, CANSSI Associate Director, Atlantic Region
Friday, December 16 | 12:00–12:45 p.m. MT
Yukon University, Whitehorse, Yukon
Presentation Abstract: Most travel restrictions imposed during the COVID-19 pandemic applied to all travellers, regardless of origin of departure or individual behaviour. Such measures do not account for the role that behaviour plays in an individual’s probability of encountering an infectious individual and contracting COVID-19. We present a statistical model, designed for use in the Yukon Territory, that estimates an individual’s probability of being a contact of an infectious person as a function of disease prevalence and the daily activities the individual engaged in during the two weeks prior to the date of assessment. Our tool presents a method for estimating contact probability that could be adopted by jurisdictions considering border travel restrictions, facility closures or group size limits, or for individuals evaluating their own behaviours.
About Lisa Kanary: Dr. Kanary is an instructor in the School of Business and Leadership at Yukon University in Whitehorse, Yukon. She also coordinates the Bachelor of Business Administration degree program that Yukon University offers.
Originally from Nova Scotia, Dr. Kanary moved to the Yukon in 2013. Since arriving in the north, she has spent time in many different areas of the University, such as instructing in the Schools of Science, and Academic Skills and Development, developing the Climate Change certificate, performing research at the YukonU Research Centre. Wearing many hats at the University has given her a unique perspective of the many avenues and opportunities students can pursue.
Currently, Dr. Kanary’s background is in applied math. She is the primary business statistics knowledge holder and teaches statistics classes in the Bachelor of Business Administration. Lisa infuses her classes with real world experience by partnering students with community groups and industry to work through statistical problems and challenges. Lisa also continues to be active in research as a data scientist and math modeller. She is currently working on math models that pertain to COVID-19 with a number of colleagues locally and around the globe. She is excited to support YukonU research and students on their journey forward.